J. Quist

Tellus Publications (Selected)

Backcasting for Sustainability: Introduction to the Special Issue

Philip Vergragt, J. Quist

This article introduces the special issue of Technological Forecasting & Social Change on "Backcasting for Sustainability." It provides a background of backcasting and positions it within the wider context of future studies. It offers reflections on the diversity and variety of backcasting studies and experiments, as presented in the ten papers for this special issue, and concludes by formulating a future research agenda.

Past and Future of Backcasting

Philip Vergragt, J. Quist

This paper deals with the past, present, and future of backcasting. After reviewing the origin of and developments in backcasting since the 1970s, it concludes that several varieties can be distinguished and that a shift has been made to broad stakeholder participation and towards a focus on realizing follow-up and implementation. The paper then proposes a methodological framework for participatory backcasting.

Originally published in Futures 38, no. 9 (November 2006): 1027-1045, available at http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328706000541.